A Way Out for Lebanon

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Hassan Hanizadeh 

The recent events in Lebanon prove that certain regional powers are continuing efforts to implement their “managed chaos” plan for the region.

These incidents are not limited to Lebanon. Indeed, a chain of events is unfolding from Gaza to Baghdad’s Sadr City to Beirut, with the United States and Israel clearly stirring up the violence.

Sadr City, Gaza, and Beirut are strategically interconnected because the security of the Zionist regime and the United States directly depends on these three places.

Israel’s defeat in the 33-day war against Lebanon in the summer of 2006 upset the military and political balance of power in the Middle East and altered the Zionist regime’s security status.

Although maintaining Israel’s security is the West’s main regional objective, the Zionist army’s defeat in the Lebanon war was a harbinger of the eventual collapse of the Zionist regime.

Since the Zionist regime’s survival depends on its military, the 2006 defeat shocked the West, and thus the Western powers, together with certain Arab countries, began efforts to force Hezbollah to exit the stage from Lebanon’s political and military arenas.

The recent acts of sabotage by the March 14 group, whose dependence on the West is obvious, have been carried out in line with this plan.

In addition, Prime Minister Fouad Siniora’s government and the March 14 group, with the help of the West, have been seeking to disarm Hezbollah, despite the massive public and official protests, including the resignation of six cabinet ministers close to the March 8 group.

In his latest measure, Siniora tried to shut down Hezbollah’s telecommunications network at Beirut airport, a move that would have undermined the Hezbollah intelligence system’s efforts to counter the activities of the U.S. and Israeli spy networks.

The Lebanese government and the March 14 group have also decided to purge the supporters of the Islamic resistance movement from the national government and military.

The unjustified sacking of popular Shia colonel Wafiq Shaqir, who was the head of security at Beirut airport, was a part of this plan.

However, Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s warning against any crackdown on the telecoms network defused part of the plot formulated by the Siniora government, the March 14 group, the United States, Israel, and certain Arab countries.

The warning led to massive protests by supporters of the Islamic resistance, and the March 14 movement’s decision to attack the demonstrators only served to intensify the national crisis.

Some anti-Hezbollah Arab states have also recently begun a propaganda campaign meant to increase the violence in Lebanon and turn public opinion in the Arab world against Lebanon’s Islamic resistance movement.

Now that the Siniora government has backed down due to the pressure from the supporters of the Islamic resistance, Arab League foreign ministers have expressed support for Siniora, despite the fact that they are aware of the root cause of Lebanon’s crisis.

Their approach shows that the Arab League, under the influence of some Arab states which have always had a sectarian view of Lebanon, do not want the crisis to be resolved.

Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri’s plan, which calls for dialogue among all political factions, the election of a consensus president, and the formation of a national unity government, is the only way out for Lebanon.

However, the March 14 group’s sabotage of the plan has led to the current impasse.

Under the current circumstances, if Siniora and the March 14 group continue their efforts to monopolize power, the situation could spin out of control and hurtle Lebanon to the brink of a devastating civil war in which all Lebanese would be the losers.

However, if all the political factions consider Berri’s plan and the Arab states stop interfering in Lebanon’s internal affairs, peace and stability will surely be reestablished in the country and the Islamic resistance movement will be able to focus on Lebanon’s southern borders.


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