Iran Review > What Others Think
A Plague of Black Swans in the Middle East
Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Gary Sick
The future of the Persian Gulf and the wider Middle East is impossible to discern. But in any serious discussion of strategy, it is imperative to recognize that we are in uncharted waters, beset with Black Swans on all sides. Old formulas will not work and should be regarded with suspicion. The end of this process, to borrow a phrase from Shakespeare, will be unknown to the beginning.

Read More...
 
Saudi Arabia: Should Troops Be Deployed To Syria?
Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Lindsay Hughes
Given that the House of Saud virtually buys the support of its subjects, it would not take much for the IS sympathisers in Saudi society to turn against the royal family. The House of Saud needs to take this into careful consideration in determining if it ought to enter the Syrian conflict directly. On the other hand, it could be that by giving the impression that it is entering the Syrian conflict and knowing that the US will recognise the inherent dangers of this move, Saudi Arabia hopes that the US will play a more active and greatly enhanced role in the war. This will reduce the pressure on Riyadh to send ground troops to Syria.

Read More...
 
Turkey-Iran Relations and the Syrian Quagmire
Sunday, February 21, 2016

Kaveh L. Afrasiabi
The Syrian government can of course take important steps, by agreeing to meaningful dialogue with the Syrian opposition and agreeing to form a government of national unity, and Iran can and should persuade Damascus to pursue this path, which is a sine qua non for the return of stability in Syria. 

Read More...
 
Uneasy Riyadh and Changing War Dynamics in Syria
Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Afshin Shahi
After many months of expectation for the new round of Syria talks, the negotiation processes in Geneva III only lasted for three days. The suspension of the UN-backed talk once again highlighted the difficulties of finding a political solution for one of the most multidimensional and multifaceted conflicts of the recent history. 

Read More...
 
NATO—America’s Misguided Instrument of Leadership
Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Graham E. Fuller
On the world scene, America is a declining power. This decline is in part domestic and self-inflicted, reflecting a certain weariness and neglect of our social order. No amount of huffing and puffing from politicians will significantly change this decline. But the decline is also relative, relative to the rise of new world powers. China, India, Brazil, even the return of a more active Russia; all now severely affect America’s former ability to dominate the global scene.

Read More...
 
Flawed Arguments on Iran's Missile Program
Tuesday, February 9, 2016

Kaveh L. Afrasiabi
Notwithstanding the above-said, it is unclear on what legal ground ambassadors Luers, Pickering and others support the US sanctions on Iran over its conventional missile program? In addition to the lack of clarity on this issue, these authors also somewhat contradict themselves by, on the one hand, admitting the deterrent and "worrisome" (for Iran's rivals and regional adversaries) nature of Iran's missile program and yet, on the other hand, belittling it as having "limited value." 

Read More...
 
Europe And Asia Reap Benefits of US Nuclear Diplomacy on Iran
Saturday, February 6, 2016

Kaveh L. Afrasiabi
Fact is that Iran today is a bulwark of anti-terrorism and has much in common with US vis-à-vis the threat of Islamic State (Daesh), Taliban, narco-traffic, and the like. The existing differences between the two countries, such as with respect to Lebanon’s Hizbollah or human rights, do not need to entirely disappear before Tehran and Washington embark on the economic dimension of a “reset.” 

Read More...
 
No Movement Towards Iran - US Diplomatic Rapprochement
Saturday, February 6, 2016

Arshin Adib-Moghaddam
The Obama doctrine will only yield strategic results, if Iran and the United States can forge a diplomatic alliance within a wider regional security architecture which would pacify Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria. If not, it will simply postpone the next period of Iranian-American antagonism. If the agreement does not yield more trust-building measures, implementing it may become a source of misperceptions and insecurity.

Read More...
 
Saudi Arabia, a Diminishing OPEC and an Ascending Iran
Monday, February 1, 2016

Lindsay Hughes
Saudi Arabia faces a raft of internal and external challenges. These include falling oil prices, its inability to gain traction in its proxy wars in Yemen and Syria, its adoption of energy policies that have tended to alienate other Organisation of Petrol Exporting Countries (OPEC) members, the return of Iran to the international community after the lifting of sanctions against it and internal issues such as dwindling water resources, a lack of employment for its youth and growing strife within the House of Saud regarding a successor to King Salman.

Read More...
 
China & the Middle East: Tilting Towards Iran?
Thursday, January 28, 2016

James M. Dorsey
President Xi Jinping’s visit to the Middle East, the first by a Chinese leader in seven years, saw the signing of billiions of dollars worth of agreements with Saudi Arabia and Egypt and a ten-fold expansion of trade with Iran over the next ten years. The significance may go far beyond commerce as Chinese interests align more with Iranian interests than those of Saudi Arabia.

Read More...
 
طراحی و توسعه آگاه‌سیستم